Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas Little Rock
Sun Belt
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#218
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#190
Pace65.9#229
Improvement+0.7#146

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#217
Improvement+0.7#141

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#217
Improvement+0.0#173
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four95.0% n/a n/a
First Round49.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 150   @ SMU W 57-47 24%     1 - 0 +14.3 +1.8 +3.1
  Nov 14, 2010 138   @ St. Bonaventure L 64-77 22%     1 - 1 -7.9 +1.9 +2.7
  Nov 21, 2010 236   Illinois St. W 63-54 66%     2 - 1 +1.5 -3.7 -3.3
  Nov 24, 2010 122   @ Oral Roberts L 60-86 20%     2 - 2 -20.1 +2.4 +2.3
  Nov 26, 2010 246   Louisiana Tech W 74-65 68%     3 - 2 +1.0 -3.7 -3.9
  Dec 01, 2010 79   @ Missouri St. L 46-80 13%     3 - 3 -24.8 +3.5 +4.0
  Dec 05, 2010 87   Tulsa W 69-67 31%     4 - 3 +3.9 +1.0 +1.1
  Dec 11, 2010 76   Mississippi L 70-84 27%     4 - 4 -10.7 +1.3 +1.4
  Dec 16, 2010 153   @ Rice L 55-65 24%     4 - 5 -5.9 +1.7 +1.9
  Dec 21, 2010 120   Akron L 61-75 29%     4 - 6 -11.2 +1.0 +1.1
  Dec 22, 2010 122   Oral Roberts W 52-49 29%     5 - 6 +5.8 +0.6 +2.3
  Dec 23, 2010 301   Stetson W 75-50 72%     6 - 6 +15.9 -4.0 -3.8
  Dec 30, 2010 175   @ North Texas L 69-81 29%     6 - 7 0 - 1 -9.5 +0.8 +1.2
  Jan 02, 2011 214   @ Denver L 70-72 OT 37%     6 - 8 0 - 2 -1.8 +0.3 -0.2
  Jan 05, 2011 138   St. Bonaventure L 55-68 43%     6 - 9 -14.2 -1.2 -0.7
  Jan 08, 2011 277   Troy W 76-73 75%     7 - 9 1 - 2 -7.2 -5.1 -5.0
  Jan 13, 2011 323   Louisiana Monroe W 81-50 87%     8 - 9 2 - 2 +15.8 -6.8 -6.7
  Jan 15, 2011 232   Louisiana W 73-68 65%     9 - 9 3 - 2 -1.9 -3.7 -3.0
  Jan 20, 2011 285   @ Florida International W 78-70 56%     10 - 9 4 - 2 +3.4 -2.1 -2.1
  Jan 22, 2011 185   @ Florida Atlantic L 71-88 31%     10 - 10 4 - 3 -14.9 +1.1 +0.1
  Jan 29, 2011 195   Arkansas St. L 64-75 58%     10 - 11 4 - 4 -16.0 -2.7 -2.8
  Feb 03, 2011 214   Denver W 75-72 OT 62%     11 - 11 5 - 4 -3.1 -2.7 -3.3
  Feb 05, 2011 232   @ Louisiana L 66-67 40%     11 - 12 5 - 5 -1.6 -0.7 +0.1
  Feb 12, 2011 323   @ Louisiana Monroe W 61-53 71%     12 - 12 6 - 5 -0.8 -4.4 -4.0
  Feb 17, 2011 221   Western Kentucky L 59-61 62%     12 - 13 6 - 6 -8.3 -3.5 -2.9
  Feb 19, 2011 192   Middle Tennessee W 62-58 56%     13 - 13 7 - 6 -0.7 -2.5 -2.0
  Feb 24, 2011 292   @ South Alabama L 79-92 57%     13 - 14 7 - 7 -17.9 -2.6 -2.8
  Feb 26, 2011 195   @ Arkansas St. L 63-71 33%     13 - 15 7 - 8 -6.7 +0.4 +0.6
  Mar 01, 2011 175   North Texas L 69-72 53%     13 - 16 7 - 9 -6.8 -2.1 -1.8
  Mar 05, 2011 292   South Alabama W 82-68 69%     14 - 16 +5.9 -3.6 -3.8
  Mar 06, 2011 195   Arkansas St. W 59-52 45%     15 - 16 +5.1 -1.3 -0.2
  Mar 07, 2011 192   Middle Tennessee W 65-56 44%     16 - 16 +7.5 -0.9 -0.2
  Mar 08, 2011 175   North Texas W 64-63 41%     17 - 16 +0.4 -0.5 +0.0
Projected Record 17.0 - 16.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8